32 14 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1031 -149 Strength Momentum |
1114 53.7(29) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | St. Pius | 0.001 | 1282 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 888 | 22% | |
08/22/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.002 | 1217 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1190 | 25% | |
08/25/15 | Kirtland Central ! | 0.000 | 893 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1466 | 72% | |
09/01/15 | Bloomfield | 0.009 | 761 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1081 | 86% | |
09/03/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.013 | 1348 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 1004 | 11% | |
09/05/15 | Grants | 0.003 | 797 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+7) | 1418 | 82% | |
09/11/15 | Valley !! | 0.042 | 1023 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1212 | 56% | |
09/12/15 | Del Norte | 0.041 | 823 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1164 | 80% | |
09/18/15 | at St. Pius | 0.115 | 1282 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1022 | 16% | |
09/22/15 | at Farmington | 0.176 | 1352 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1057 | 10% | |
09/25/15 | at Sandia Prep ?? | 0.235 | 1186 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-1) | 974 | 26% | |
09/26/15 | Roswell | 0.291 | 1071 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1085 | 49% | |
09/29/15 | Miyamura | 0.359 | 730 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 965 | 88% | |
10/01/15 | at Gallup | 0.082 | 642 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1263 | 90% | |
10/06/15 | at Aztec | 0.576 | 1158 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1010 | 29% | |
10/08/15 | Farmington | 0.573 | 1352 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1076 | 15% | |
10/15/15 | at Miyamura | 0.433 | 730 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1149 | 83% | |
10/17/15 | at Los Alamos ? | 0.815 | 1191 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 977 | 25% | |
10/20/15 | Gallup | 0.286 | 642 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1231 | 94% | |
10/22/15 | Aztec | 0.937 | 1158 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1029 | 37% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Piedra Vista actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1114, while
Piedra Vista's "weighted playing strength" is 1049
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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